Where the sector is heading
The forces reshaping open infrastructure
The open infrastructure sector is being reshaped by forces that are often discussed as though they are separate — the AI investment boom, tightening public science budgets, and a growing emphasis on digital sovereignty — but that are, in practice, deeply intertwined. Below are seven signals we’re tracking as early indicators of where the sector may be headed over the next few years. Some point to critical risks as philanthropic and public funders redirect resources toward AI even as the maintenance costs of existing infrastructure remain unaddressed. Others point to openings for collective action, from national-level investment decisions to policymakers rethinking how infrastructure, publishing, and digital sovereignty should work in an AI-mediated research environment.
Taken together, these signals demonstrate a clear need to invest in maintenance, coordination, and expansion of open infrastructure as a shared foundation for research.
2026 signal scorecard
Headline indicators for the open infrastructure landscape heading into 2026–2027
What's moving and why it matters for open infrastructure
Funders exit the open infrastructure space
The Navigation Fund quietly closed its open science program. Astera discontinued its Open Science Fellowship1 and, in February 2026, sharpened its focus around intelligence and AI-enabled life sciences, pulling back from what had been a more expansive open science program. The Chan Zuckerberg Initiative (CZI), which had been one of the more prominent funders in the open science and research software space, laid off roughly 70 employees at the start of this year as it restructured to go “all in on AI-powered biology” through its Biohub program.2 Other funders like Omidyar3 and McGovern who had been meaningfully funding data infrastructure and responsible technology, including increasing direct engagement with the open infrastructure space, have also shifted priorities toward AI governance and civic infrastructure in ways that undermine conversations about the maintenance and operational costs of the existing ecosystem.4
The reduction in available funding sends signals that open science is no longer valuable enough to support monetarily. This philanthropic reshuffling is happening at the same time as US federal science funding cuts, leaving an ever-narrowing pool of funders responsible for critical infrastructure.
AI decimates Tailwind’s business model
The use of AI tools and agents led to an 80 percent drop in revenue for the open source web tool Tailwind. Even as the framework itself became more popular than ever, a precipitous drop in direct traffic meant developers no longer discovered the commercial plans that sustained the business.5
An infrastructure can be more widely used than ever and simultaneously more vulnerable to collapse. AI and other forces have contributed to skyrocketing traffic (and associated costs), while disintermediating users from content creators, often eroding certain monetization models. Funders, including companies that benefit directly from open infrastructure their models rely on, could move from ad hoc sponsorship toward proactive, sustained support for the infrastructure their own products depend on.
An infrastructure can be more widely used than ever and simultaneously more vulnerable to collapse.
European Commission announces the creation of the EDIC Digital Commons
The European Digital Infrastructure Consortium (EDIC) provides a framework to develop an interoperable, EU-based digital commons grounded in the public interest.6 It will encourage public-private partnerships to develop alternatives in key infrastructure areas such as AI and cybersecurity.
“Digital sovereignty” is no longer just a value, but a procurement and policy lever that could reshape which infrastructures get public legitimacy and funds in Europe. It sets a powerful precedent that funders and consortia could point to when arguing for large scale, sovereignty-aligned financing of research infrastructure. This move also illustrates increasing global mistrust of US-based tech and risks for US-based infrastructure providers, showing real consequences of US government and tech firms’ policies and behaviours. We are watching to see how digital sovereignty can manifest in regions that lack funding and capacity to fully disengage with US-based tech giants.7
COS streamlines OSF
The Center for Open Science (COS) is streamlining the Open Science Framework (OSF), the flagship project-management/collaboration platform it has developed and run since 2012. Rather than trying to be an all-in-one home for study planning, file storage, collaboration, and archiving, COS is narrowing OSF to what it calls its “unique strengths” — preregistration, linking of research outputs, and sharing preprints — while dealing with the reality of an austere funding environment.
In their rationale for narrowing OSF services, COS explicitly cites the ability to “lean on our open infrastructure colleagues and partners to fill use cases that OSF no longer supports.”8 COS’s work to proactively focus OSF’s future development is coupled with its encouragement of its users to embrace other open infrastructures for parts of lifecycle management that OSF no longer fulfils — displaying a clear sense of ecosystem responsibility and reciprocity. This decision bears resonance with Jisc’s decision to formally sunset IRUS, its institutional repository usage metrics service, in April 2026. Jisc’s Head of Product, John Kaye, attributed the decision to an evolving ecosystem and encouraged their former users to embrace a robust open alternative from OpenAIRE.9 Examples like these show how organizations are willingly giving up parts of their portfolio so they can focus on their unique contributions and acting in support of others. As open infrastructures look for sustainable solutions in a time of acute austerity, funders can encourage and directly support thoughtful cooperation.
PLOS report proposes moving beyond the article as the unit of value in publishing
After 18 months of independent economic analysis, multistakeholder convenings, and design research with roughly 650 researchers, PLOS published “Redefining Publishing: Practical pathways to open science,” arguing that the concepts of ‘article as unit of value’ and ‘APC as funding mechanism’ are increasingly out of step with how research actually happens.10 The report proposes a “knowledge stack”: a structured, machine-readable layer that links articles to the data, code, methods, and materials underpinning them, crediting contributors and making distributed outputs legible as a coherent whole, without requiring those outputs to move from where they already live.
Open infrastructure funders and maintainers have long argued for reuse as the end goal of openness. The PLOS report presents the case for open infrastructure as a facilitator of reuse, and illustrates the risk that, without it, the value of open science gets captured by vertically integrated commercial platforms instead. The report emphasizes the importance of coupling infrastructure improvements with a move away from the article processing charge (APC). These are collective action challenges that no single organization or sector can solve alone. Funders and institutions, in collaboration with publishers, can push for assessment reform, and the investment in the connective infrastructure this model depends on. The report explicitly highlights PLOS’ own continuing its investment in shared infrastructure like the Janeway platform.
Coalition of funders launches HumanityAI
HumanityAI, a coalition of philanthropic funders from across numerous sectors, has pledged US$500 million over five years to support AI designed in the public interest.11 Its members include the Doris Duke Foundation, Ford Foundation, Lumina Foundation, Kapor Foundation, John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation, Mellon Foundation, Mozilla Foundation, Omidyar Network, David and Lucile Packard Foundation, and Siegel Family Endowment. In spring 2026, the coalition announced its first cohort of grantees, whose projects will advance AI governance, build cross-sector partnerships, and support community-driven research.
HumanityAI represents one of the largest coordinated efforts to counterbalance corporate influence over AI’s trajectory with funding aimed at making sure people have a stake in the future of artificial intelligence. This kind of cross-sector alignment is rare in philanthropy, and its emergence here suggests funders see AI’s impact as too large and too cross-cutting for any single foundation’s portfolio to address alone. A coalition of this size and diversity can shape norms, set agendas, and provide opportunities for open infrastructures. Several of the initiative’s priority areas overlap with concerns central to open infrastructure work, particularly around who controls and benefits from the systems underpinning research and knowledge production. Connecting AI designed in the public interest with open science is a promising avenue for future support for open infrastructure, one that could help offset the evaporation of other, previously reliable funding sources.
Dutch government invests in training for open science infrastructure sustainability
Open Science NL’s 2026–27 work program includes funding to develop and deliver “a sustainability training for those responsible for open science infrastructure in all lifecycle stages.”12 The work program identifies a critical skills gap for infrastructure maintainers: designing and implementing business models that can sustain these critical resources and ensure their continued availability to the research community.
A national government-backed program is treating infrastructure sustainability skills as a systemic gap worth funding directly, rather than leaving individual maintainers to figure out business models on their own. The work program explicitly acknowledges that technical infrastructure work and sustainability planning are distinct skill sets, and that the latter has been under-supported. Sustainability challenges have been brought into sharper focus by recent geopolitical crises that reveal the risks of depending on a single government or funder. While many funders require sustainability plans for infrastructure projects, the Dutch approach aims also to build the skills required for maintainers to craft such documented plans. Other countries and funders could look to this national-level action as a model. Rather than expecting each project or institution to develop this expertise independently, what would it look like to build in training and support for exploration of different business models, revenue diversification, and financial management, e.g., at the outset of a project rather than when it is in crisis?
- 1https://www.openresearchbeacon.org/project/astera-institute-open-science-fellowship/
- 2https://biohub.org/blog/founders-update-ai-powered-biology/
- 3https://omidyar.com/update/omidyar-networks-strategy-evolution-bending-the-arc-of-the-digital-revolution-toward-shared-power-prosperity-and-possibility/
- 4https://www.mcgovern.org/2025-press-release/
- 5https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tailwind-lays-off-75-4-171658591.html
- 6https://www.sovereign.tech/press/edic-digital-commons
- 7https://data-landscapers.com/2026/06/16/sovereignty-dividing-line/
- 8https://www.cos.io/blog/osf-changes-a-note-to-users
- 9https://investinopen.org/blog/sunsetting-for-progress-irus-jisc/
- 10https://explore.plos.org/practical-pathways-to-open-science
- 11https://www.macfound.org/press/press-releases/humanity-ai-commits-500-million-to-build-a-people-centered-future-for-ai
- 12https://zenodo.org/records/17579089